Global banks stall on climate action despite net zero promises, report finds

22/10/2025

  • No bank assessed has committed to end all on- and off-balance sheet activities dedicated to new oil and gas fields and new coal capacity. 
  • 61% of banks have no policy to incentivise the transition of their high-emitting clients. 
Banks have made “little progress or weakened action on climate change”, according to new research published today (22 October 2025) by the TPI Global Climate Transition Centre (TPI Centre) at the London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE).

In its ‘State of the Banking Transition 2025’ report, the TPI Centre evaluated banks’ climate policies using 77 sub-indicators grouped into 10 areas, called the Net Zero Banking Assessment Framework (NZBAF). Their Carbon Performance for Banks assessment also tracked which sectors and business activities banks set targets on and whether their sectoral decarbonisation pathways align with the Paris Agreement temperature goals. 

For the report, the TPI Centre analysed 36 of the largest banks by market capitalisation and total assets, revealing that “banks are still at an early stage of their transition with decarbonisation targets that cover a limited set of sectors and business activities.” 

The authors find that banks’ “overall performance on the NZBAF is weak”. On average, banks score on only 18% of the 77 sub-indicators and the best-performing bank scores on around one-third of the sub-indicators. More worryingly, progress on the transition looks to have stalled, with 95% of the scores on the NZBAF remaining unchanged year on year.

Among banks that updated their policies, most “weakened their disclosures in areas such as net zero commitments, financing conditions for high-emission sectors and fossil fuel policies.” Some banks either fully withdrew or weakened their net zero commitments, substituting firm language such as ‘commitment’ or ‘target’ with less precise wording such as ‘ambition’ and ‘aspiration’.

The report also states that “targets for financing directed towards climate solutions are becoming widespread, but the extent to which they contribute to real-economy decarbonisation is unclear.” Of the 36 banks they assessed, 17 have financing targets for climate solutions, but the activities eligible for this financing vary from bank to bank.

Carbon Performance analysis shows only “34% of banks’ sectoral decarbonisation pathways aligned with low-carbon benchmarks (i.e. 1.5°C or Below 2°C) in 2030.” Alignment was particularly low in the aluminium, oil and gas and steel sectors. By contrast, alignment was highest in the electricity utility sector, with 96% of bank pathways aligned with global low-carbon benchmarks, although this could partially reflect regional bias, as grids are decarbonising at a different pace in advanced and in emerging markets and developing economies (EMDEs). 

The Centre also confirms that the pace at which banks have been setting new targets sharply decreased in 2024 compared to 2023 and 2022. Sectoral decarbonisation targets are now common in the banking sector but typically cover only the short term (2030) and a limited set of sectors and business activities.

Banks in EMDEs are, on average, at an earlier stage of their transition, but there are important differences within the group. In addition to the four Chinese banks assessed last year, this year, the TPI Centre also covered two banks from Brazil and two banks from India. Collectively, these eight banks meet the criteria for only 7% of sub-indicators, compared with 19% for the other 32 assessed banks . Within this group of EMDE banks, performance varies significantly: all Chinese and Indian banks score below 10%, while Brazilian banks exceed this threshold. Itaú is the frontrunner, meeting the criteria for 19% of sub-indicators which is on par with the average for non-EMDE banks.

Algirdas Brochard, Banking Project Lead, TPI Centre, said: 
“Given banks' central role in the economy and their far-reaching influence on climate, their slow progress on the climate transition coupled with the recent dissolution of the Net Zero Banking Alliance suggest that the objectives of the Paris Agreement are slipping further out of reach.”

Sonja Gibbs, Managing Director and Head of Sustainable Finance, Institute of International Finance (IIF), said: 
“At the IIF, we see strong demand from our members for high-quality data and analytical insights that help financial institutions navigate the transition in financial markets.   
 
“In an increasingly fragmented policy and regulatory landscape around sustainable finance, the work being done to help understand banks’ progress and improve the transparency and availability of transition-related information is a valuable contribution to informed dialogue between banks, investors and policymakers.”
 
ENDS

For interviews with the authors, please contact Liam Collins on l.collins4@lse.ac.uk or gri.media@lse.ac.uk

Notes to editors  
  • The TPI Global Climate Transition Centre (TPI Centre) is an independent, authoritative source of research and data on the progress of corporate and sovereign entities in transitioning to a low-carbon economy. It is part of the Global School of Sustainability at the London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE).  
  • The TPI Centre is the academic partner of the Transition Pathway Initiative (TPI), a global initiative led by asset owners and supported by asset managers, aimed at helping investors assess companies’ preparedness for the transition to a low-carbon economy. As of October 2025, 155 investors globally, representing approximately US$87 trillion[1] combined Assets Under Management and Advice, have pledged support for TPI.  
  • The report published today is part of a trilogy: it complements the State of the Corporate Transition 2025 report (published in September) and will be followed by the State of the Sovereign Transition 2025 report in November.
  • For more information, please visit https://www.transitionpathwayinitiative.org.  
 
This page has been modified adding that Lucid Axon provided support in drafting the initial bank assessments, incorporating insights from their AI-driven technology, as acknowledged in the State of the Banking Transition 2025.

[1] This figure is subject to market-price and foreign-exchange fluctuations and, as the sum of self-reported data by TPI supporters, may double-count some assets.